Friday, July 30, 2010

On CNBC's Kudlow Report Tonight

Tonight at 7pm ET on CNBC:


THE GOP PLAN TO FIX THE ECONOMY
Congressman Paul Ryan (R-WI) will join us.




THE MARKETS…
STOCK MARKET UP 7% IN JULY, CAN THE JULY RALLY EXTEND INTO AUGUST?
WALL ST. EXPECTS BETTER TIMES AFTER MIDTERM ELECTIONS

LARRY'S OPTIMISM CHECK LIST
- Companies Highly Profitable
- Businesses Investing Rapidly
- Consumers Saving More
- Trade Taking Off
- Low Inflation & Low Interest Rates
- November Regime Change

Panel:

- Bill Baldwin, Forbes Editor
- Jim LaCamp, Macroportfolio Advisors Sr. VP, Portfolio Manager
- David Goodfriend, Fmr. Clinton W.H. Official; "Left Jab" Co-Host/Air America Co-Founder

TAX CUT FIGHT
CNBC chief Washington correspondent John Harwood reports.

BEWARE THE BALANCED BUDGET DEAL
- Peter Ferrara, Policy Innovation Dir. of Entitlement & Budget Policy

THE MOST LOVED CEOs
CNBC’s Jane Wells will report.

CHINA HAS OVERTAKEN JAPAN, ARE WE NEXT?

- Joel Kotnick, "The City: A Global History" author
- Zachary Karabell, CNBC Contributor/River Twice Research President
- John Rutledge, Rutledge Capital Chairman; Fmr. Reagan Economic Advisor

THE PRICE OF BLISS: A COST BREAKDOWN OF CHELSEA CLINTON’S WEDDING
NBC’s Rehema Ellis will be live from Rhinebeck, NY.

Please join us. The Kudlow Report. 7pm ET. CNBC.

Thursday, July 29, 2010

Is Sen. Bayh a Supply-Sider in Donkey's Clothing?

Now here's a real Democratic supply-side reformer in the John Kennedy tradition. Sen. Bayh has explicitly chosen growth over class warfare. Hats off to him. The Democratic tax revolt is brewing. Unbelievable.












Wednesday, July 28, 2010

How to Restore American Confidence

Great debate last night on what must be changed in Washington to restore confidence and growth. Joining me were former Clinton senior advisor Richard Socarides and outspoken University of Maryland economist Peter Morici.












On CNBC's Kudlow Report Tonight

Tonight at 7pm ET on CNBC:

IS OBAMA DOING ENOUGH FOR SMALL BUSINESS?

-Peter Navarro, business school professor at UC Irvine
-Kristie Arslan, Executive Director of the National Association for the Self-Employed


AN INTERVIEW WITH SEN. EVAN BAYH … TAXES, SPENDING & THE ECONOMY

- Sen. Evan Bayh (D) Indiana

FINREG: IS GOVERNMENT IMPOSING QUOTAS ON WALL STREET?

CNBC’s Eamon Javers reports from Washington.

4 WAYS WALL STREET WILL BEAT NEW FINANCIAL REGULATIONS

- Brian Gardner, Keefe Bruyette & Woods Washington analyst

NOT AS BAD AS IT SEEMS? (JOBS THEN VS. NOW: 1/02 VS. 8/09 RECESSIONS)
Businesses Whine, But Data's Fine?

CNBC senior economics reporter Steve Liesman reports.

DID STIMULUS STAVE OFF DEPRESSION?

- Greg Valliere, Chief Political Strategist; Potomac Research Group CNBC Contributor
- Andy Busch, BMO Capital Markets

Please join us. The Kudlow Report. 7pm ET. CNBC.

Monday, July 26, 2010

On CNBC's Kudlow Report Tonight

Tonight at 7pm ET on CNBC:

CAN WE MOVE FROM FEAR TO OPTIMISM?

BUSH TAX CUTS: WHO, WHAT, WHERE, WHY & WHEN
CNBC chief Washington correspondent John Harwood reports from Washington.


BUSH TAX CUTS DEBATE:
WOULD TAXING THE WEALTHY HURT THE ECONOMY?

- Howard Dean, Fmr. Vermont Governor; CNBC Contributor; Fmr. Presidential Candidate
- Steve Forbes, Forbes Chmn & CEO; Forbes Editor-in-Chief; Fmr. Presidential Candidate; "How Capitalism Will Save Us" Co-Author

OPTIMISM FROM THE CORNER OFFICE
- Sir Martin Sorrell, WPP CEO

BYE-BYE TONY HAYWARD; NINE LIVES OF BP
CNBC’s Bertha Coombs reports.

MARKETS: COMPANIES HAVE CASH, WHY AREN'T THEY HIRING?

- Michael Farr, CNBC Contributor; Farr, Miller & Washington President
- Joe Battipaglia, Stifel Nicolaus Market Strategist

PLUS … LARRY'S OPTIMISM CHECK LIST

- EARNINGS
- ZERO INFLATION
- ZERO FED RATE
- DR. COPPER: PRICES RISING AGAIN
- WASHINGTON GRIDLOCK COMING IN NOVEMBER

HEDGE FUNDS GO QUIET IN WAKE OF FIN-REG ESCAPE
CNBC’s John Carney reports.

Please join us. The Kudlow Report. 7pm ET. CNBC.

Saturday, July 24, 2010

Liberal Tax Revolt Game-Changer?

The liberal tax revolt, as the Wall Street Journal is calling it, is a very important topic -- especially for investors and small-business entrepreneurs. And for new jobs.

The so-called revolt is comprised of three Democratic senators: Kent Conrad, Evan Bayh, and Ben Nelson. They want to extend all the Bush tax cuts. That includes taxes on the wealthy, or the top personal tax rate, the investment taxes on capital gains and dividends, and the estate tax.

So is this revolt a game-changer, or merely wishful thinking?

With a strong pushback against the revolt by President Obama, Treasury man Tim Geithner, and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, right now it looks like wishful thinking. But with Democrats getting badly paddled in various polls, you never know.

When Tim Geithner told me in a CNBC interview a few weeks ago about his 20-20 rule for the top tax rate on capital gains and dividends, I blogged that this was a good thing -- in particular the story for dividend taxes, which could go to 39.6 percent. But no increase at all on investment taxes would be even better.

Let’s say you’re an investor who went long stocks in March 2009 and now has a long-term capital gain. You could sell right now at a 15 percent tax rate before it goes up to 20 percent. In a nutshell, this is the tax-hike story that has hung over the stock market this year like the proverbial Sword of Damocles. Year-end tax-related selling could still be in front of us.

So the liberal tax revolt is a very important issue for investors. It could mean a potential stock market rally in the second half of the year.

It’s also important for job seekers. Just take a look at the new Investor’s Business Daily poll by the accurate surveyor Raghavan Mayur. He notes that the average length of joblessness has soared to over 35 weeks, nearly two-times greater than the previous high for any downturn. And his polling data show that nearly one-half of households can be categorized as “job-sensitive.” That’s a huge number. These are the people who are either looking for work or fear that they may be laid off -- or both.

Regarding the direction of the country, confidence in the job market, the likelihood of a second recession, and satisfaction with federal economic policies, Mayur’s polling shows that the large job-worrying population is extremely pessimistic. Come November, that’s going to translate into votes against the Democratic Congress. And this pessimistic, jobs-sensitive group is undoubtedly thinking, along with the tax-hike-revolt Democratic senators: What sense does it make to raise taxes on anyone? Or on any business, large or small?

Then there’s the confidence-threatening war between business and the White House, which is also related to the liberal tax revolt. It’s still a battle royale between the nation’s business leaders and the administration over taxes, spending, regulation, and trade.

Treasury man Geithner made lite of this war at a Christian Science Monitor breakfast this week. A Daily Caller headline read: “Geithner Bored by Complaints from Business about Obama Policies.” White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel also doesn’t seem that concerned. In a Wall Street Journal interview with Jerry Seib, Emanuel was a bit more conciliatory about reexamining regulatory issues, but he was still inconclusive.

There are two big things that businesses want right now: One is an across-the-board corporate tax cut, including cash expensing for investment. This is the single most powerful job-creator of all. The other is a senior business executive in one of the key economic policy slots in the White House. Neither of these requests seems to be on the table. But to conclude that the White House is burying the hatchet with business you’d have to see these conditions met.

So far it ain’t happening.

Friday, July 23, 2010

On CNBC's Kudlow Report Tonight

Tonight at 7pm ET on CNBC:

LIBERAL TAX REVOLT: IS IT A GAME CHANGER OR WISHFUL THINKING FOR INVESTORS & SMALL BUSINESS ENTRENPRENEURS? PLUS … WHITE HOUSE WAR AGAINST BUSINESS: WILL THEY BURY THE HATCHETT OR MORE SKIRMISHING TO COME?


- Greg Valliere, CNBC Contributor Potomac Research Group Chief Political Strategist
- Andy Busch, BMO Capital Markets; CNBC Contributor -

KILL THE DEATH TAX?

- Michael Linden, Center for American Progress Assoc. Dir. for Tax & Budget Policy
- Jerry Bowyer, CNBC Contributor/Syndicated Columnist

EUROPEAN BANK STRESS TESTS
CNBC’s Simon Hobbs reports.

THE MARKETS

- David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors Chairman & Chief Investment Officer; CNBC Contributor
- Peter Navarro, "The Coming China Wars" Author; University Of California - Irvine Business Professor

WASHINGTON OUTRAGE: SEN. JOHN KERRY SKIPS TOWN ON SAILS TAX
- Dan Mitchell, Cato Institute Sr. Fellow

Please join us. The Kudlow Report. 7pm ET. CNBC.

It's a Fiscal Problem, Not a Fed Problem

Ben Bernanke threw a curveball in his midterm report to Congress this week. The Fed view of the economy has been downgraded since it last reported in February. Although the official Fed forecast for 2010-11 is still 3 to 4 percent real growth, Bernanke sounded particularly gloomy when he characterized the economy as "unusually uncertain." And he indicated that the majority view of the Fed Board of Governors and Reserve Bank presidents is that the risks to growth are "weighted to the downside."

But here's the disconnect. With no inflation and weaker growth, including stubbornly high unemployment, Bernanke mostly talked about an exit strategy that would shrink the Fed's balance sheet by removing liquidity. This was the Fed's bias last winter when the recovery looked stronger. Now that the recovery looks weaker, the stock market was hoping to hear Bernanke hint of an easier policy that would increase liquidity if necessary. Didn't happen.

At the end of two days of testimony, Bernanke's message seemed to be this: Expect the zero-interest-rate policy to be extended for another year. Futures markets now predict free money until September 2011.

Whether the economic outlook is as downbeat as Bernanke suggests is an interesting question. The vast majority of corporate profit reports for the second quarter show better-than-expected earnings and top-line revenues. In other words, the CEOs are a lot less pessimistic about the future economy than Wall Street or Main Street. And a combination of strong profits, a zero interest rate, and a positively sloped Treasury yield curve would certainly seem to rule out a double-dip recession.

However, one year into recovery, private jobs should be growing much faster and unemployment should be a lot lower. Following a deep recession, economic growth should be closer to 8 percent than 3 percent.

But there are limits to Fed fine-tuning. The central bank can produce more money, but that doesn't mean it can produce more jobs.

Look, the Fed has already injected $1.4 trillion of new money into the economy, of which about $1 trillion of excess reserves are unused and on deposit at the central bank. Putting it another way, the economy has more liquidity than it knows what to do with. What's the problem? All that excess money is not being used. And this, I believe, is a fiscal problem, not a Fed problem.

Think of all the economic obstacles of spending, taxing, and regulating coming out of Washington. What should be done to spur growth? Keep tax rates down. And stop passing massive regulatory bills, like the bank reform Obama just signed into law.

What else? The White House and Congress should end the war between business and Washington. Listen to what the CEOs are saying. Reduce the uncertainty premium caused by massive deficit spending and 2,500-page regulatory bills. Stop the assault against entrepreneurship. Keep down the cost of new job hires. Stay focused on free-trade expansion.

And then reduce tax rates for large and small businesses across-the-board. Speed up business investment tax write-offs. And extend the Bush tax cuts for another couple of years until a true pro-growth tax reform can be developed -- one that will flatten rates, simplify the code, and get rid of unnecessary tax expenditures (which really are spending increases, not tax cuts).

In other words, since businesses create jobs, provide businesses with a new round of tax incentives. Reduce their capital costs and raise their investment returns after-tax.

Noteworthy is a move by several Democratic senators -- like Evan Bayh, Ben Nelson, and Kent Conrad -- who are calling for an extension of all the Bush tax cuts, including lower tax rates for upper-end earners, capital gains, and dividends. These brave souls are now in open revolt against the White House.

With gold near $1,200 an ounce, the Fed has done its job and then some in providing liquidity. Easier tax rates, rather than easier money, is what will spur jobs and a faster recovery.

Thursday, July 22, 2010

On CNBC's Kudlow Report Tonight

Tonight at 7pm ET on CNBC:

DID BERNANKE CHANGE HIS TONE TODAY?
CNBC’s Hampton Pearson reports.

IS THE FED OUT OF BULLETS AND/OR IS IT SHOOTING BLANKS?


- William Ford, Fmr. Atlanta Fed President; Middle Tennessee State University
- Ronald Kruszewski, Stifel, Nicolaus Chairman & CEO
- David Goldman, Senior Editor First Things Magazine

THE MARKETS

- Jim Iuorio, Options Action Contributor; Director, TJM Institutional Services
- Robert Pavlik, Banyan Partners Chief Market Strategist
- Michael G. Crofton, President and Chief Executive Officer; The Philadelphia Trust Company

DEMOCRATS DISSENT OVER BUSH TAX CUTS
CNBC chief Washington correspondent John Harwood reports.

THE FIGHT OVER EXTENDING THE BUSH TAX CUTS

- Christian Weller, Center for American Progress
- Louis Woodhill, Chairman of Digabit; Club for Growth Leadership Council

WHY IS WALL STREET AFRAID OF ELIZABETH WARREN?
CNBC’s Eamon Javers reports.

WHAT DO CEO'S KNOW THAT WE DON'T KNOW?
- Anthony Mirhaydari, Markman Capital Insight Sr. Research Analyst; MSN Money Contributor


Please join us. The Kudlow Report. 7pm ET. CNBC.

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

Ben’s Curveball

Ben Bernanke threw a curveball today in his midterm report to Congress. The Fed view of the economy has been downgraded since its last report in February. This is not totally new news, since the June FOMC minutes reported this downgrade. However, “the majority saw the risks to growth as weighted to the downside.”

But here’s the disconnect. With no inflation and weaker growth, including stubbornly high unemployment, Bernanke mostly talked about an exit strategy that would shrink the Fed’s balance sheet by removing liquidity. This was the Fed’s bias last winter when the recovery looked stronger. Now that the recovery looks weaker, the stock market was hoping to hear Bernanke hint of an easier policy that would increase liquidity if necessary. Didn’t happen.

At one point today stocks were down 165 points, though they finished better, falling only 109 points. Gold fell $7 to $1,184, and the greenback rallied a bit. Bond rates continued to slide lower.

But I have a different view of this story. The Fed has injected $1.4 trillion of new money into the economy, of which about $1 trillion of excess reserves are unused and on deposit at the central bank. So, in other words, the economy has more liquidity than it knows what to do with. What’s the problem? All that excess money is not being used. This, I believe, is a fiscal problem, not a Fed problem.

Think of all the economic obstacles of spending, taxing, and regulating coming out of Washington. What should be done to spur growth? Keep tax rates down. And stop passing massive regulatory bills, like the bank bill Obama signed today.

What else? Reduce tax rates for large and small businesses across-the-board. Then speed up business investment write-offs for tax purposes.

In other words, since businesses create jobs, provide businesses with a new round of tax incentives. Reduce their capital costs and raise their investment returns after-tax.

With gold near $1,200 an ounce, the Fed has done its job and then some in providing liquidity. Easier tax rates, rather than easier money, would spur jobs and a faster recovery.

On CNBC's Kudlow Report Tonight

Tonight at 7pm ET on CNBC:

WILL BERNANKE’S PESSIMISM CONTINUE TO ROIL THE MARKETS?

- Steve Liesman, CNBC senior economics reporter
- Andrew Busch, BMO Capital Markets; CNBC Contributor
- Jim LaCamp, Macroportfolio Advisors Sr. VP, Portfolio Manager

…INSIDE THE HEARING
- Sen. Judd Gregg (R) New Hampshire; Senate Budget Committee Ranking Member

STIMULUS SURPRISE: THE GOVT'S JOBS CREATION SOLUTION WAS MASSIVE SPENDING & STIMULUS - IS IT WORKING? DO COMPANIES ACTUALLY PULL BACK WHEN GOVERNMENT SPENDS?

- Joshua Coval, Harvard Business School professor
- Robert Reich, Fmr. Labor Secretary; Author, "Supercapitalism"; CNBC Contributor; Univ. of CA., Berkeley, Prof. of Public Policy

OBAMA SIGNS FIN-REG INTO LAW:
WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR BANKS? DOES IT REALLY END TOO-BIG-TO-FAIL?


-CNBC’s Eamon Javers reports.

- Ronald Kruszewski, Stifel, Nicolaus Chairman & CEO
- Camden Fine, President & CEO Independent Community Bankers of America

Please join us. The Kudlow Report. 7pm ET. CNBC.

Tuesday, July 20, 2010

On CNBC's Kudlow Report Tonight

Tonight at 7pm ET on CNBC:


APPLE CRUSHES FORECASTS
CNBC’s Bob Pisani will report.




ARE WE FACING A DOUBLE-DIP RECESSION OR NOT?

- Gary Shilling, president of A. Gary Shilling & Co.
- Milton Ezati, Lord Abbett Sr. Economist & Market Strategist

FED ON TAP TOMORROW … BERNANKE HEADS TO THE HILL

-Vince Reinhart, former director of the Federal Reserve Board's Division of Monetary Affairs, resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute
- Gary Shilling, president of A Gary Shilling & Co.
- Milton Ezrati, Lord Abbett Sr. Economist & Market Strategist
- Peter Navarro, economics professor at UC Irvine

WASHINGTON TAX ATTACK
Senator Jim Demint (R-SC) will join us.

UNCERTAINTY FROM WASHINGTON …
THE WASHINGTON STORY IS NOT CREATING CONFIDENCE IN THE MARKETS/ECONOMY … WHERE'S THE PRO-GROWTH MESSAGE? WILL THE UNEMPLOYMENT EXTENSION HELP OR HINDER JOB CREATION?

- Jeffrey Miron, Senior Lecturer and Director of Undergraduate Studies in the Department of Economics at Harvard University
- Richard Socarides, former senior adviser to former President Bill Clinton

Please join us. The Kudlow Report. 7pm ET. CNBC.

Monday, July 19, 2010

On CNBC's Kudlow Report Tonight

Tonight at 7pm ET on CNBC:

OBAMA GOES AFTER REPUBLICANS … THE PRESIDENT PUSHES FOR UNEMPLOYMENT EXTENSION

CNBC chief Washington correspondent John Harwood reports from Washington.


NO JOBLESS CLAIMS EXTENSION; DRUG TESTS FOR RECIPIENTS?
Sen. Orrin Hatch (R) Utah; Senate Finance Cmte

GOP PROPOSES BRAVE NEW BUDGET

- Rep. Tom Price (R-Georgia)
- Roger Altman, Evercore Partners Chairman; former Clinton Deputy Treasury Secretary

GOLD DEBATE: IS THE PRECIOUS METAL A GOOD INVESTMENT?

- James Altucher, Formula Capital Managing Director
- Don Luskin, CNBC Contributor; Trend Macro Chief Investment Officer

TAX ATTACK: AIRLINE FEE TAX?
- Ben Baldanza, Spirit Airlines Pres. & CEO

Please join us. The Kudlow Report. 7pm ET. CNBC.

Friday, July 16, 2010

On CNBC's Kudlow Report Tonight

Tonight at 7pm ET on CNBC:


THE MARKETS & ECONOMY
Plus a look at the Goldman Sachs settlement and financial reform.



- Joe Battipaglia, Stifel Nicolaus Market Strategist
- Michael Cuggino, Permanent Portfolio Family of Funds President & Portfolio Manager; Permanent Portfolio Fund (PRPFX)
- Lee Munson, Portfolio Asset Management; Chief Investment Officer
- Steve Moore, Senior Economics Writer for the Wall Street Journal Editorial Board; "Return to Prosperity" co-author

THE APPLE IPHONE BROUHAHA
- Jon Fortt, Senior Writer, Fortune Magazine

WASHINGTON TO WALL STREET: THE ECONOMY & TAXES

Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK)
Sen. Byron Dorgan (D-ND)

Please join us. The Kudlow Report. 7pm ET. CNBC.

Business Knows More than Obama

With a bad-blood, confidence-destroying battle royale going on between Team Obama and business, you would think a highly publicized White House jobs summit would have produced some kind of positive announcement that gives a nod to the business point of view.

After all, as part of his so-called "business charm offensive," the president is arguing that "it's the private sector that has always been the source of our job creation, our economic growth and our prosperity; and it's our businesses and workers who will take the reins of this recovery and lead us forward."

He also says "the free market depends on a government that sets clear rules that ensure fair and honest competition," and that "too much regulation or too much spending can stifle innovation, can hamper confidence and growth, and hurt business and families."

But uncertainty over the regulatory-and-tax rules of the road is exactly what has buffaloed business and stifled the animal spirits that are so necessary for investment and job creation.

The clash between business and the administration has become the high-drama news story of the summer. Business leaders have slammed the White House over policies they regard as hostile to jobs, including taxes, trade and all manner of new regulations. And amidst a subpar and virtually jobless recovery, their grievances have resonated with the electorate.

A clear majority now thinks the president is "too liberal" to govern effectively. In one poll, an astonishing 55 percent say Obama's a socialist. It seems the more the CEOs blast Obama for being anti-business, the more the president's poll numbers drop.

It was no surprise when Tom Donahue of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce held a jobs summit that slammed the White House. But after calling in Bill Clinton to help with the business CEOs (and Obama's pal Warren Buffett), it was a great shock when the White House could only manage to send a letter from Valerie Jarrett, a supposed Obama business-staff adviser, and Rahm Emanuel to the Chamber expressing disappointment at the public complaints of the business community.

The fact is, major corporations are sitting on a near $2 trillion cash hoard that along with rising profits could become the greatest private-sector stimulus plan ever. Banks are also stockpiling cash -- about $1 trillion in excess reserves that could finance the greatest job-creation program in history. Three trillion dollars of private money dwarfs the piddling $50 billion in deficit-creating taxpayer money being debated on in Congress.

But all business is asking for is some clarity and certainty regarding government intentions, especially on taxes and regulation. Take, for example, the new 2,300-page bank-regulation bill, which spreads 243 new regulatory provisions across 10 agencies. No one really knows what's in this document, or what the unintended consequences will be. Until people figure this out, it could freeze bank lending for years.

The Obamacare health bill similarly includes tax hikes and regulatory overreach that not only adds to business hiring costs but could put a freeze on the expansion of one of America's most vibrant private-sector industries. Meanwhile, threats of EPA carbon regulations only add to the cost burden for business.

An overwhelming consensus of business executives is now pleading for tax relief. FedEx CEO Fred Smith has been leading the charge for a lower corporate tax rate to make America more competitive. Eli Lilly CEO John Lechleiter says America has lost its innovation advantage, falling way behind firms in other nations, especially in Asia.

The business community also wants an acceleration of business investment-tax write-offs. Studies show that $1 of faster depreciation for investment in plants and equipment increases gross domestic product by nearly $10. Team Obama has granted this to the very tiniest companies, but won't universalize it for all companies.

This, even while the president concedes that business investment creates jobs. So why is the administration stubbornly opposing a tax incentive that could ignite dormant animal spirits and unleash a wave of job-creating investment?

The best thing to come out of the administration this summer was Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner's pledge to me in a CNBC interview to place a 20-20 limit on tax rates for investor capital gains and dividends. No one, most of all me, wants to see any increase in these tax rates. But at least the Geithner pledge means investment tax rates will stay low. The stock market took a turn for the better right after the interview.

The moral of the story? Federal taxes and regulations matter. Instead of demonizing business, Obama and his crowd should start listening and acting on the recommendations of our business leaders. Most of these people are not politically partisan. They're trying to do good for the economy and the country.

Frankly, they know more about this than the president does.

Thursday, July 15, 2010

On CNBC's Kudlow Report Tonight

Tonight at 7pm ET on CNBC:

GOLDMAN SACHS SETTLES WITH THE SEC

- Harvey Pitt, Kalorama Partners, CEO & Founder; Former SEC Chairman
- Andrew Ross Sorkin, The New York Times Deal Book Editor; NYTimes Chief Mergers & Acquisitions Reporter; "Too Big to Fail" Author
- Jim LaCamp, Macroportfolio Advisors Sr. VP, Portfolio Manager
- CNBC’s Kate Kelly

BP: OIL HAS STOPPED FLOWING INTO GULF
CNBC’s Bertha Coombs reports.

WILL FINANCIAL REFORM BILL HURT SMALL BUSINESS LOANS AND JOBS?
PLUS .... A LOOK AT THE GOLDMAN SACHS SETTLEMENT

- Sen. Kit Bond (R-MO)

HOW DO YOU FIX CALIFORNIA'S JOBS AND FISCAL CRISIS?

- Meg Whitman, CA Gubernatorial Candidate; Fmr. eBay CEO
- Jerry Brown, California Attorney General; CA Gubernatorial Candidate

Please join us. The Kudlow Report. 7pm ET. CNBC.

Bad Blood Between Business and the White House?

Media mogul Mort Zuckerman and the Washington Post's Steven Pearlstein joined me last night to offer their perspective on whether there is bad blood between President Obama and the business community and how to restart the U.S economic growth and jobs engine.



Wednesday, July 14, 2010

On CNBC's Kudlow Report Tonight

Tonight at 7pm ET on CNBC:


KUDLOW JOBS SUMMIT: BUSINESS LEADERS & POLICYMAKERS TO TACKLE OUR NATION'S NUMBER ONE CHALLENGE: CREATING JOBS AND REVIVING ECONOMIC GROWTH


- Rep. Brad Sherman (D) California; Budget Committee; financial services cmte
- Rep. Paul Ryan, (R) Wisconsin; Budget Cmte Ranking Member; President Obama's Fiscal Commission

OBAMA'S CREDIBILITY CRISIS

- Steven Pearlstein, Washington Post Economics Columnist
- Mort Zuckerman, N.Y. Daily News Publisher; U.S. News & World Report Chairman & Editor-in-Chief

FINANCIAL EARNINGS PREVIEW

CNBC’s Mary Thompson reports.

SHOULD CONGRESSIONAL PAY BE CUT?

- Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah)

BUSH TAX CUTS & THE DEFICIT MYTH
Is runaway government spending, not declining tax revenues, the reason the U.S. faces dramatic budget shortfalls for years to come?

- Brian Riedl, Heritage Foundation Senior Policy Analyst in Federal Budgetary Affairs

Please join us. The Kudlow Report. 7pm ET. CNBC.

Tuesday, July 13, 2010

Geithner Pledge Is Paying Dividends

When Treasury man Tim Geithner told me last week in a CNBC interview that the Obama administration wanted a 20-20 limit on the tax rates for investor capital gains and dividends, it may have turned stock markets around 180 degrees from the nasty bear correction that began in late April. No one, most of all me, wants to see any increase in these tax rates. But the Geithner pledge created a lot more certainty, especially on dividends, which will not go up to the 40 percent personal tax rate on ordinary income.

So capital costs will only rise slightly after-tax, and investment returns will only decline slightly post-tax. Investors are breathing easier. This was a very constructive development, putting an end to all kinds of fears. Mr. Geithner deserves at least a tip of the hat.

Stocks, up today about 150 points, have rallied for six consecutive sessions. Plus, today’s trade figures showed a more powerful economy, at least in the month of May. While the trade gap widened slightly, exports are rising by 21 percent and imports by 29 percent. Both capital and consumer goods are booming on foreign sales and purchases. And the early profits reports are beating the street for the second quarter — including tech bellwether Intel, which surpassed estimates for both earnings and sales revenue.

There may be a slow patch in the economy, but in my view, at least the double-dip scenario has a very low probability. Plus, the news out of Europe is improving for both interbank funding markets and longer-term bond financing.

Really, over the next few months, the stock market outlook may be better than the economic-growth outlook.

But turning back to Mr. Geithner and his boss President Obama, the big question is whether the administration is calling a truce in its battles with business, banks, and investors. The language is certainly more private-sector, free-enterprise oriented. And allegedly, according to news reports, the White House is meeting with its critics from the Business Roundtable on trade and regulatory issues. Top BRT lobbyist John Castellani was quoted in the WSJ saying the administration gets an A+ for reaching out and an incomplete for policy.

I’ll have more to say on this when I put together a full column.

On Tonight's Kudlow Report

Tonight at 7pm ET on CNBC:

STEINBRENNER R.I.P: THE LEADERSHIP MODEL
CNBC’s Darren Rovell reports.

INTEL SOARS AFTER THE BELL
CNBC’s Dennis Kneale reports.


THE MARKETS: BULL VS. BEAR

- Danielle Hughes, Divine Capital CEO
- Ned Riley, Riley Asset Management Investment Strategist

AMERICA'S GROWING INNOVATION GAP
An interview with Eli Lilly Chairman & CEO John Lechleiter.

SMALL BUSINESS OPTIMISM DROPS SHARPLY
Amilya Antonetti, Chairman and CEO at AMA Enterprise

SHOULD SOCIAL SECURITY ELIGIBILITY AGE BE INCREASED TO 70?

- Jim MacDougald, The Free Enterprise Nation; "Unsustainable: How Big Government, Taxes and Debt are Crushing America" Author
- Barbara Kennelly,National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare President & CEO

Please join us. The Kudlow Report. 7pm ET. CNBC.